Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.672283 1.912713 2.176846 2.488770 2.847368 3.247075 3.726906
2025-08-17 1.252577 1.548310 1.900036 2.350018 2.911679 3.591269 4.478508
2025-08-24 1.015665 1.340605 1.753955 2.320139 3.078466 4.063257 5.446063
2025-08-31 0.838699 1.171607 1.620491 2.273008 3.202567 4.487129 6.410773
2025-09-07 0.749663 1.101756 1.601970 2.369125 3.524723 5.214423 7.897984
2025-09-14 0.664791 1.022208 1.554219 2.410277 3.766183 5.852470 9.347390
2025-09-21 0.582696 0.933109 1.477037 2.391069 3.906181 6.348041 10.642756
2025-09-28 0.501523 0.833082 1.367619 2.301894 3.915961 6.629635 11.620046
2025-10-05 0.471223 0.810976 1.379197 2.411028 4.266954 7.518872 13.766487
2025-10-12 0.445303 0.792234 1.392792 2.523285 4.635527 8.484152 16.191863
2025-10-19 0.413842 0.759296 1.376743 2.578657 4.905609 9.303649 18.462492
2025-10-26 0.383726 0.724746 1.352929 2.615088 5.142341 10.087993 20.777528
2025-11-02 0.340979 0.662635 1.273005 2.538336 5.157778 10.463775 22.364624
2025-11-09 0.297753 0.594359 1.173158 2.409001 5.049346 10.575588 23.414675
2025-11-16 0.271239 0.556105 1.127728 2.384850 5.156929 11.152871 25.586565
2025-11-23 0.245835 0.516996 1.075768 2.339768 5.212558 11.625282 27.597991
2025-11-30 0.236380 0.510241 1.090191 2.440729 5.607433 12.910357 31.755318
2025-12-07 0.222812 0.492893 1.079718 2.484213 5.876002 13.943316 35.472553
2025-12-14 0.205725 0.465659 1.044198 2.464943 5.992529 14.630741 38.428150
2025-12-21 0.185268 0.428363 0.981634 2.373191 5.918714 14.839838 40.158061
2025-12-28 0.180487 0.427040 1.001945 2.486000 6.375165 16.455486 46.009781
2026-01-04 0.176007 0.425881 1.022443 2.601977 6.856884 18.210272 52.578310
2026-01-11 0.168272 0.415850 1.020212 2.659192 7.190686 19.619603 58.403564